What if it was possible to predict the specific social intervention projects needed to bring about political accommodation and the peaceful settlement of dispute? To identify exactly which programmes would transform a community’s understanding and perception of conflict and trigger the process of reconciliation?

Predicting Peace introduces the Social Cohesion and Reconciliation Index (SCORE) – a unique tool which can be applied across a wide range of contexts to provide practical, country-specific guidance for policy makers and decision-makers. SCORE incorporates approaches that have already been highly successful in the fields of social psychology and human development to design targeted, evidence-based approaches to conflict transformation and social change.

Predicting Peace focuses on case studies of SCORE’s implementation in Bosnia and Herzegovina, and Cyprus, to illustrate how this innovative approach can be used globally to identify policies and programmes which will leverage the most effective results and bring about a positive transformation of the conflict dynamic.

>> Visit the SCORE Index interactive platform